Sunday, 14 January 2018

Ashes 2017/18: 4th Test Day 5, At Least It Will Not Be 5-0…


 

Ashes 2017/18: 4th Test Day 5

At Least It Will Not Be 5-0…

December 30th 2017

There was a thought that Australia could come out to score quick runs and put England under real pressure on the last day. It was never really likely but, after so many promising positions have disappeared, there was always that horrible feeling that Australia could make a sneaky declaration and suddenly have England 16-4 with a couple of hours to survive.

Starting the day 91 behind, with 98 overs to go – more likely 96 if there was a change of innings – the equation was simple for England. They had at very most 65 overs to take eight wickets; probably only 60. The key was always to take a couple of wickets in the first hour; if Australia got to Lunch with Warner and Smith still together the match would end in a draw.

As it was England took over 25 overs to make the breakthrough as Warner and Smith batted at the sort of pace more associated with the 1960s but, crucially, avoided giving the bowlers as sniff of a chance. A break for rain seemed to be the et tu brute.

Fortune has been cruel to England all tour and had one last joke to play. With the new ball and England’s last chance saloon barrelling into view, Joe Root put himself on. Warner took a wild slog and lobbed the ball straight to James Vince. Then Shaun Marsh edged the persevering Stuart Broad and Jonny Bairstow flew left and took a wonderful catch. With the new ball due soon after Lunch England were suddenly back in the game. Australia were effectively 8-4, the new ball was due in four overs and there were two sessions left.

As now even the most pessimistic Englishman, or one-eyed Australian could see any way that England could lose, but if Australia did not see off the new ball there was a real threat that they might. Here though, aided by a pitch that got so dead that even the ICC marked it as poor, Australia showed that that they can adapt their game. Just 47 runs came from 29 stone-walling overs in the afternoon session. If Faf du Plessis had been watching, he would have approved. It was a high-risk strategy because it meant that two quick wickets after Tea would have left Australia only around 60 ahead with only 4 wickets left and plenty of time to go, but Steve Smith seems to be able to walk on water these days.

The highest ever ranking for a Test batsman is Don Bradman’s 961 from a possible maximum of 1000. Steve Smith is up to 947, which no player other than Bradman has ever beaten. It will be very tough for him to move up further: from 900 points up, holding points is tough, gaining them requires almost superhuman performances. By 950, the ratings are designed in such a way that advancing becomes almost impossible. Right now though, Steve Smith does not seem to understand what “impossible” means. When he first came into the Australian side it was as a leg-spinning all-rounder: no one could have imagined that he would become harder to dismiss than anyone since Bradman.

Joe Root and England tried everything except dynamite. You wonder if Moeen at his best might have made something of it, or maybe the high pace of Liam Plunkett but, reality was that if a batsman set out his stall to survive and not make a mistake it was hard to take a wicket, which made the Australian first innings collapse from 260-3 to 327ao all the more astonishing. It also put into context the fact that eight England batsmen got out between 14 and 61: only Alistair Cook got in and made it count.

It will not be 5-0, but there is still a real danger of 4-0.

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