Wednesday, 30 May 2018

England v Pakistan: 2nd Test Preview - And the Winners are… Keaton Jennings and Sam Curran!


 

England v Pakistan: 2nd Test Preview

And the Winners are… Keaton Jennings and Sam Curran!

May 30th 2018

With England needing a win to avoid yet another series defeat and controversy raging over selection and the team’s under-performances, a call from Trevor Bayliss is enough to send the heart racing… mainly with fear of being the latest fall guy.

The recipients of phone calls this week have been Keaton Jennings – widely predicted to replace Mark Stoneman – and, less expected, Sam Curran. Keaton Jennings had scored 536 runs at an average of 107 in his last six innings and, completely predictably, that run ended as soon as he had received the call to return him to the ranks. Sam Curran gets the call thanks to his good County Championship form with the ball, to an injury to Ben Stokes and to the fact that he is a left-armer and adds some variety to the attack.

There are many possibilities. Ben Stokes may yet play as a specialist bat: the fact that England can now call on the useful bowling of Jennings could tempt them to go down that route. There could be a straight swap of Stokes for Woakes. Jonny Bairstow could move up the order, allowing Joe Root to bat at his preferred position of #4. Dom Bess could make way on the grounds that a spinner rarely wins matches at Leeds, with Malan and Root offering a few overs of spin, if required. Michael Vaughan would even drop Stuart Broad.

What is clear is that few members of the squad can be sure of their place. The top 5 are not getting runs. England are too often 30-2 and 40-3 and if you do not put up 400 regularly, you are not going to win many Tests. That said, all too often over the winter and against Pakistan, the bowling lacked punch and, even more, lacked variety. As was said of David Gower’s attack in his first match as captain, when you have four right-arm, medium pace, seam and swing bowlers and a flat spinner, you can change the bowlers, you can change the ends, but you cannot change the bowling.

That Sam Curran is preferred to Jake Ball, to his brother Tom, or to Craig Overton is revealing: where there is a choice, youth gets the call. Even in Jennings v Stoneman, it is the younger man who has the benefit of the doubt.

Jake Ball’s record – just three wickets in four Tests – has counted against him, while Tom Curran is regarded as lacking the pace to be effective at this level. With Sam Curran in the squad, England can drop Mark Wood and still retain an attack with a bowler who is different. In fact, it is not impossible that both Woakes and Curran will play.

What to do with the batting is more of an issue. The batsmen are clearly lacking in confidence and making poor decisions. Despite his score at Lord’s, there are still questions about Alaistair Cook and that average opening partnership of 18 between Cook and Stoneman was certainly not all Stoneman’s fault. Can Keaton Jennings awaken the sleeping giant in his partner? That said, can Jennings cope with high-class seam bowling more successfully than he did against South Africa when, admittedly, desperately out of form?

Huge England totals have usually been made around big scores by Cook and Root, but neither is quite on song. That is heaping pressure on Stoneman/Jennings and Malan. Dawid Malan responded brilliantly in Australia, but cannot buy a run now and knows that this may be his last Test for a while unless he can make a score. However, Malan’s job would be much easier if he were to come in at 200-3 instead of 40-3. For that to be possible, Cook and Jennings need to put up opening partnerships of fifties and centuries. Similarly, Bairstow and Buttler, both attacking batsmen, will do better against tiring attacks than against fresh ones that are scenting blood after an early collapse.

While it is too much to hope for that the England XI will show radical changes – although the call-ups for Buttler, Curran and Jennings show that the mantra is no longer so clearly “more of the same” – we are already diverging substantially from the XI played in Brisbane and more changes can be expected on Friday. All in all, the playing XI is quite unpredictable.

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