Tuesday, 5 December 2017

Ashes 2017/18: 2nd Test, Days 1-4 - After Fourteen Consecutive Sessions of Handing Out Cauliflower Ears has Steve Smith Fallen for a Sucker Punch?


 

Ashes 2017/18: 2nd Test, Days 1-4

After Fourteen Consecutive Sessions of Handing Out Cauliflower Ears has Steve Smith Fallen for a Sucker Punch?

December 5th 2017

After 3 days of this Test journalists and fans were becoming desperate. Finding ways of re-arranging the words “England”, “waggon”, “tour”, “wheels” & “falling off” into new and inventive phrases was getting beyond most.
After 7 sessions of this Test Australian fans were licking their lips anticipating a 3-day finish. It should have been a 3-day finish. We now go into Day 5. And, all results are still possible, with an England win starting to look plausible. Even if Australia win, which is still the most likely result, it looks as if Steve Smith has blown it big time and made what is potentially one of the most series-changing calls since the catastrophic insertion at Brisbane in 2001.

In what every single pundit has said is a must-not-lose Test, Joe Root made the controversial decision to insert and England bowled poorly for two sessions. First and foremost, on the available evidence, it was the right choice. However, when the opposition makes 442-8 and the tail again scores big runs, making the bowlers look impotent, it is never going to look good on your CV. The theory was that Joe Root was running scared of the Australian pace attack. Actually, he thought that Anderson and Broad could knock Australia over for 150 – and subsequent events have proved him right.
When the opposition have made 442-8 and the top order fails, despite being largely spared batting under the lights and the follow-on looks inevitable, maybe as many as 300 behind, things look pretty awful.

Cheer was pretty limited, but the fact that in his debut innings as a Test bowler Craig Overton equalled the number of wickets that Jake Ball has from four Tests was one bright spot. Another is that those three wickets cost significantly less in total than each of Jake Ball’s wickets suggests that, as in 2013, amid the ruins England may have unearthed a gem.
Wind forward. England 142-7. 300 behind. And those last 3 wickets expected to go down without getting England over the 150. Follow-on under lights and the real possibility of the game finishing that same evening. It was awful. Worse, it was an embarrassment.

Then, the unexpected. Overton’s three consecutive ducks did a lot of damage to his chances of playing the 1st Test (especially when combined with an erratic last day of bowling in the warm-ups). Chris Woakes has struggled to reproduce his all-round form so far in the series. Put the two together and Pat Cummins must have been licking his lips, especially with the timorous Stuart Broad to come in behind them. Stand of 66 and, for the first time, Australian belief seemed to start to waver: this was not in the script. The follow-on edged closer and speculation mounted about whether or not Steve Smith would take it, even if given the chance! OK.
The last three wickets fell for nineteen. Normal service resumed. Surely Australia will enforce the follow-on. Tricky session under lights. Ball on a string. The main betting was about whether England would be four or seven or more wickets down by the scheduled Close.

And then, incredibly, Smith blinked. Starc had bowled 20 overs, but Cummins and Hazlewood had only bowled 16, the new ball had not been needed and batting conditions were at their most difficult, but Smith made Bancroft and Warner sprint off to pad up and gave his own batsmen the difficult session under lights. You could almost sense the relief in the England camp: they knew that they were back in the game if they bowled as they could.
Suddenly Australian were under the cosh. Bancroft fell to only Jimmy Anderson’s eighth ball and England tails were up. Instinctively you felt that someone would get in and the fun would be over. At 39-1 it looked as if Australia had weathered the storm, but Khawaja, even liberated from the threat of Moeen (who is obviously not fit to bowl) fell for 20. If you had said then that that would be the top score of the innings, you would have been locked-up, but it was.

Warner and Smith fell before the Close as Australia discovered that they are not as good under pressure as they thought. Australia 53-4 at the Close and you thought that England really needed at least one more wicket: surely, in the afternoon, on Day 4, with ideal batting conditions, 50-4 would become 220-5 and it would be as if the Australian collapse had never happened?
Wonder of wonders, with England needing quick wickets Australia obliged and panic set in: 75-6, 90-7… surely not? Even when Marsh and Starc held out, it was only a brief respite of less than eight overs and the collapse resumed. 138 all out. England would have settled for 50 more as a superb day’s work.

So, target 354. Can England even get close?
Standard wisdom is “no”. Australian fans were confidently predicting that a best case scenario for England was to take the game into the fifth morning but, it was noticeable, as the openers put on 50 together and then Malan and Root added 78 that the Australians were nervous and, at times, as chances went down and reviews went wrong, seemingly close to panic. Steve Smith certainly was transmitting anything other than calm. The inconceivable was looking all too conceivable at 169-3, just before the Close. If Steve Smith were to lose this one – and it requires the highest chase ever by England and the thirteenth highest ever in Tests, so it is not exactly a gimme – it may well be his head that replaces the replica of the Ashes urn at the end of the series.

You sense that the fall of the unflappable Dawid Malan just before the Close swung the balance firmly back towards Australia but, is Chris Woakes and Joe Root can get in in the morning, with Jonny Bairstow, Moeen Ali and Craig Overton to come, Steve Smith may yet sweat quite a bit before he can close this match out. See off an hour in the morning and get through the new ball and Australia will really have reasons to flap.
The fact that we can even talk about an England win is a measure of the seismic shift in momentum in this Test.

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