Showing posts with label 4th innings chases. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 4th innings chases. Show all posts

Monday, 26 August 2019

England v Australia: Third Test, Stokes Re-Kindles the Ashes as Australia Throw it Away


 

England v Australia: Third Test

Stokes Re-Kindles the Ashes as Australia Throw it Away

August 25th 2019

 

England should now be 2-0 down with two to play and the destination of the Ashes, but not the series, decided. They are not, thanks to a series of extraordinary events that highlights the fragility of both sides.

An Australian collapse at Lord’s threatened to give England an unexpected chance to square the series after the heavy defeat at Edgbaston. That England were blown away in the 1st Test, having dominated the match for the first three days, was a salutary lesson. Australia were fifteen behind with their top three dismissed, but England could not finish them off. Might it have changed the result if Jimmy Anderson had not hobbled off after bowling just four overs on the first morning? Just possibly, but a side should be able to overcome such handicaps. Would England have won the 2nd Test had they not lost an hour on the final morning after so much play – effectively, two full days – had not been lost previously? Quite possibly! These though are simple imponderables: we do not know what would have happened and, both times, Australia rode their luck and battled through.

With Steve Smith, previously the difference between the two sides, out of the 3rd Test, England had their Ashes 2005 moment. In that series, the freak injury to Glenn McGrath, when he trod on a cricket ball in the warm-up, changed the destination of the series. England revived. Steve Smith out. Jofra Archer causing mayhem. The momentum swinging, surely England had to win now, or lose the series?

Even more, Australia blinked first with selection. Apart from the enforced change to replace Steve Smith, with Labuschagne proving every bit as effective a stand-in as Jofra Archer was for Jimmy Anderson, Cameron Bancroft was the fall-guy for top-order failings. The change made no difference, with Australia 25-2 within forty minutes, but then it was England who lost the plot. An hour of buffet bowling and Australia were in a strong position when they could have been all out for under 100. Take away the 111 stand between a revived Warner and Labuschagne and twenty wickets fell for 145 between the first two innings of the match and the start of the third. For all the complaints that Chris Woakes has been underbowled, his arthritic performance on the first afternoon as two batsmen scored almost as many as the other twenty in the first innings, suggests that his knee is troubling him more than is being admitted. In conditions in which you would have expected him to make hay, his match figures were 25-5-85-2.

The less said about England’s first innings, the better. Jason Roy’s fourth consecutive single-figure score and the manner of his dismissals, show that he is not making a success of opening the innings. Against Australia, he has a sequence of 10, 28, 0, 2, 9 & 8. Joe Root is playing out of position to protect lesser batsmen around him and struggling. Root plays all three formats and has been flogged into the ground over the last couple of years, a fact that some of the more ungrateful fans who are calling for his head, forget conveniently. And Joe Denly is managing a positively James Vince-like sequence of getting a start and then failing to pass thirty. Below them, Bairstow and Buttler look a shadow of the counter-attacking players who can win a Test in session. The Australians were given good bowling conditions to use against a frail line-up and proved irresistible.

Australia, though, are not much better off. Their top order is no more solid than England’s and the middle order is struggling. There is speculation that Tim Paine may have to drop himself because he cannot buy a run and Matt Wade desperately needs a score. The Australia of Allan Border or Steve Waugh would have taken that first innings lead of 112 and sailed off into the distance. At 215-6, with the England attack struggling, they had a chance to push past 400 lead and kill the game but, just as England had failed to apply the killer blow at Edgbaston, Australia were not good enough to apply it here.

A better side than Australia would have taken their chances. When both openers fall to the new ball in under half an hour, with the opposition facing attaining the tenth highest fourth innings chase if they were to keep the Ashes alive and with the batsmen playing as if facing hand grenades, blindfold, with a moral victory for the bowlers at least once an over, the killer blow should have fallen. Yet it did not.

The lesson is that this is a series between two mediocre, inconsistent sides, both capable of moments of brilliance… and a lot of dross.

The key aspect of the partnership between Root and Denly was not the number of runs scored, but the fact that it gave their side belief that the match could be won. It also started to sow the seeds of doubt in Australian minds: a doubt that must have contributed to the frazzled state twenty-four hours later. Even when Joe Root fell early on the fourth morning, just before the new ball, rather than signalling the end, as the fielding side must have expected, the arrival of the new ball brought a flood of runs, as the previously stroke-less Stokes and the previously run-less, Bairstow, combined to reduce the number of runs required ever-closer to the hundred mark that was within reach of a single partnership.

No one can legislate for a batsman chancing his arm and it coming off. In 1981, Ian Botham did it, memorably, both at Headingly and at Old Trafford. These things happen. But you can make it easier for the batsman. Stokes should have been out early in his innings: the chance went begging.

Australian fans will, however, forever believe that they were cheated of victory. Ben Stokes should have been given LBW with 2 runs needed to win, but Joel Wilson gave him the benefit of someone’s doubt. Australia would have won by one run – shades of the Border/Thompson stand in the 1982/83 Ashes – but it should have never got to that. Australia totally lost the plot.

When David Warner dropped Stokes on 34 in the morning session, it did not look so costly. With 17 needed to win, Marcus Harris, who has had a pretty forgettable match, missed a more difficult chance. Then Jack Leach committed suicide, charging down the wicket and should have been run out by yards, but Nathan Lyon dropped the ball and Leach scrambled back. That was symptomatic of scrambled minds that were making mistakes under pressure. A lot of that pressure was being applied by a crowd that never stopped believing and cheered to the echo every four, every six, every single and every forward defensive.

How else do you account for the way that, over after over, Stokes was allowed a comfortable single from the fifth or sixth ball? Australia never pinned him down at one end so that they could attack at the other. How else do you account for the fact that even when they had Leach in their sights, the bowlers could not produce the match-winning delivery? Leach never even looked uncomfortable. How else can you explain the way that none of the bowlers managed to deliver a single Yorker in the block-hole to either Stokes, who was swinging away and thus vulnerable to one, or to Leach? Supposedly, limited-overs cricket as taught bowlers the knack of bowling that lethal, block-hole delivery at the death, but that skill went missing during the frenetic, frantic, last wicket partnership. Or that when Leach was facing early in what proved to be the final over, he was allowed to nudge the single that got him off the mark and levelled the scores?

And, Australia would have won had they not wasted already their review on a quite desperate attempt to remove Jack Leach. When they actually needed a review, six balls later, they had none left.

The English, being the English, will feel guilt that victory was tainted by an umpiring error. Many Australian fans will feed that sense of guilt and make out that they were cheated. Had the roles been reversed, the Australians would have just said “tough mate! You should have taken your chances.” You make your own luck and Australia deserved no better.

The truth of the matter is that, when put under pressure, the Australians cracked. The match should never have been allowed to depend at the very last moment on an umpire who was under extreme pressure too, a good part of it due to the fielding side appealing for everything; it should have been settled long before then.

Ben Stokes’ innings was extraordinary, as was his calmness and awareness, but no less extraordinary was Jack Leach’s calm under extreme pressure, with half the Australian side close enough to touch him and chatting away. Most #11s would have thrown it away: Leach did not.

The 1st Test was won by an extraordinary batting performance by Steve Smith and the 2nd Test saved thanks in great measure to another. The 3rd was won by an extraordinary batting performance by Ben Stokes. With the bowlers holding sway, the series will be decided by which of the two sides manages to produce such innings more often.

Both sides have chronic problems. The top three of both teams has the solidity of wet tissue paper. With a week and a half between Tests, there is time to reflect and take decisions after mature reflection. While Rory Burns has earned himself the full series, the time has come to end the experiment with Jason Roy: he may ride his luck and make a score in the series, but he does not suggest permanence. Similarly, time is running out for Joe Denly. He has reached double figures in every Test this summer, yet passed 30 just once. And Joe Root must drop back down to #4.

England already have a perfect excuse to make changes. Assuming that Jimmy Anderson has shown no reaction to his 2nd XI outing and is considered fit, he will enter the side at his home ground. It could be that he replaces a bowler – presumably, Chris Woakes – but there is also the possibility that he could replace a batsman and that Sam Curran could replace Chris Woakes. People will look to the heavens at that suggestion but, with the form of some of the batsmen, the depth of the batting will hardly be weakened, but there will be an extra bowling option to keep control. Or England could take the opportunity to refresh both batting and bowling without it looking like panic.

One batting solution would be to bring in Dom Sibley. A look at Sibley’s numbers this season shows that he has not only scored huge numbers of runs, but his strike rate in the low 40s shows that he has had a lot of patience and is willing to grind out an innings. This is just what England need at the top of the order. Sibley, though, had a double failure against Somerset in his only First Class outing since mid-July and will not get another innings before the 4th Test. Sibley may regret that he timed his one, poor match of the season badly. The ECB should regret the ludicrous scheduling of the feeder competition for the Test side.

An indicator of selectorial thinking is that Ollie Pope was called-up as cover for Jason Roy, after Roy’s blow to the head in the nets, making it far more likely that, at least at Old Trafford, Pope will play instead of Sibley. Doing this allows too a re-jig of the top order. There is a case for Joe Denly to be asked to open with Burns at Old Trafford, with Ollie Pope at #3 and Joe Root at #4. This is a risky solution as, despite his unbeaten double century, Pope has, apart from that single innings, played only T20 since his early season injury and Denly’s experience as an opener is mainly limited to ODIs and T20s for England, ten years ago. However, Denly seems far more likely and prepared to see off the new ball than is Jason Roy: one thing that he has been doing is to stick around, even if the runs have not accompanied. If the coach says to him, “Joe, we are happy to see you bat out a full session for 20”, he is the one player in the top 4 who you can see capable of doing it and of relishing the challenge.

At the same time, Australia will make further changes. The bowlers have been rotated and will continue to rotate. Space will be made for Steve Smith, unless his outing against Derbyshire is a disaster. Marnus Labuschagne will keep his place. David Warner’s innings has probably saved his place, but Matt Wade and Tim Paine’s places are certainly under threat. It is far from impossible that Australia could make as many as three or even four changes.

Both sides will go to Old Trafford thinking of what might have been. England know that they let slip a big first innings lead at Edgbaston and, with a little more luck in the 2nd Test, could now be 3-0 up. Australia will know that they dodged the bullet in the 2nd Test and were the better side for most of the game at Headingly and should be 2-0 up and retaining the Ashes. With their talisman back, Australia will expect to put things to rights at Old Trafford. However, if yesterday was a flashback to Headingly ’81, Australia would be wise to recall that Ian Botham produced another extraordinary match-winning innings in a crisis at Old Trafford later that same summer.

Bottom line: expect the unexpected. Both sides are capable of great things… and of producing dross.

Friday, 25 January 2019


 

West Indies v England

1st Test, Day 3: And Now For Something Completely Different

January 25th 2019

 

After 26 wickets fell for 493 runs on the first two days, 344 were scored on Day 3 and not a wicket fell. There was much about the day’s cricket that Monty Python, who immortalised the phrase “and now for something complete different”, would have approved of.

The West Indies started the day at 126-6, 337 ahead. Most pundits felt that the West Indies had more than enough and would be all out in the morning, leaving a target somewhere in the range 360-400. England’s only remote chance was to knock over the last four wickets very quickly. In fact, there was every chance that the match would be over by Tea. That was the theory. The practice was that Dowrich and Holder first consolidated and then, let rip. And as they let rip, England’s performance in the field disintegrated. Anderson and Stokes did beat the bat, but when a ball flew into the air, it did not go to hand. One particularly embarrassing error was Jos Buttler failing to see a ball flying almost straight at him and making no attempt to take the catch: the hapless Monty Panesar would have done better, even if Monty Python might not have. Holder reached a run-a-ball century before Dowrich had reached 40 and then continued onwards and upwards. Would he declare when Dowrich reached his century? No! At a lead of 600? No! He finally hit the boundary that brought up his 200 and turned for the pavilion. It was an exhibition of grinding the opponents into the dirt that Viv Richards would have approved of. Holder was ruthless and brilliant.

So, chasing a modest 628 to win, in a nominal 200 overs, England had 20 overs to survive and take the game into a fourth day, on which, clutching at straws, some rain is forecast. How many wickets would they lose? 4? 5? Jason Holder tried six bowlers, with Campbell getting prodigious turn, albeit from misdirected deliveries but, with Jennings blocking-out one end, Burns put bat to ball at the other. A 50 partnership in 18 overs and England reached the Close on 56-0, needing another 562 runs to win and without having suffered any major scares. The assumption that, once again, the wicket would behave differently for the West Indian bowlers with their extra pace, was confounded, at least for the moment. However, there is a long, long way to go to attain any kind of respectability. So far England have only got as far as avoiding the second largest margin of defeat by runs in Test history:


Team
Total
Overs
Run rate
Margin of defeat (runs)
Opponents
Ground
Date
Australia
66
25.3
2.58
675
England
Brisbane
30/11/1928
England
145
63.3
2.28
562
Australia
The Oval
18/08/1934
South Africa
171
40.2
4.23
530
Australia
Melbourne
17/02/1911
Australia
119
46.4
2.55
492
South Africa
Johannesburg
30/03/2018
Pakistan
72
31.3
2.28
491
Australia
Perth
16/12/2004
Bangladesh
158
49.2
3.20
465
Sri Lanka
Chattogram
3/01/2009
England
126
63.5
1.97
425
West Indies
Manchester
8/07/1976
Sri Lanka
236
106.2
2.21
423
New Zealand
Christchurch
26/12/2018
England
186
78.1
2.37
409
Australia
Lord's
24/06/1948
Australia
165
50.0
3.30
408
West Indies
Adelaide
26/01/1980
England
103
37.0
2.78
405
Australia
Lord's
16/07/2015

Defeats by more than 400 runs in Test cricket. There have been eleven so far: will this match provide a twelfth?

Just 11 sides out of 588 who have lost in the fourth innings of a Test, have lost by a margin greater than 400 runs. To avoid becoming a twelfth, England have to almost treble their first innings total. It is a tall order, but Burns and Jennings can do their self-confidence and England’s self-respect a lot of good, if they can hang around for a long time on Day 4.

Monday, 26 November 2018

Sri Lanka v England, 3rd Test Day 4: Tea Kills Sri Lankan Hopes of a Miracle


 

Sri Lanka v England

3rd Test Day 4: Tea Kills Sri Lankan Hopes of a Miracle

November 26th 2018

 

There have only been 8 successful fourth innings chases at the SSC, while twelve times, including today, the chase has ended in defeat. The highest successful chases are:

·       326-5: Sri Lanka v Zimbabwe, 1988

·       172-4: Sri Lanka v West Indies, 2005

·       142-5: Sri Lanka v England, 1993

·       131-5: Pakistan v Sri Lanka, 2000

·       74-6: England v Sri Lanka, 2001.

For a significant part of the afternoon session, Sri Lankan fans started to dream of pulling-off an incredible heist. Had Tea come half an hour later, it is possible that Sri Lanka would have won, given how Lakmal and Pushpakumara had added 58 in 12 overs and were grinding-down the bowling to helplessness with a mixture of solid defence and hard swinging.

The deficit at Tea was 43 and horrible thoughts were rising in the backs of the minds of the visiting fans, as the home fans started to wonder if they were going to see a historic turnaround. Numerous times though a significant Sri Lankan partnership has broken just after Tea, changing the momentum of a match: what Joe Root could not obtain with a bowling change, he invariably managed with a cup of Ceylon tea – rival to Darjeeling as the best cuppa in the world and, in this series, a lethal wicket-taker. While Pushpakumara was swinging merrily, they were distracted from the nerves that come with knowing that a target, previously out of reach, was almost within touching distance. A tenth wicket partnership can be gloriously uninhibited when it knows that victory is impossible. Had Tea come with fewer than 20 wanted to win, you can imagine that the nerves would have been transferred to the fielding side and that Sri Lanka would have been, perhaps, the favourites. As it was, the batsmen trooped back to the pavilion just before the fielding side reached a state of total disarray.

The result was almost inevitable. You felt that the first two overs after the interval would be the danger: if the batsmen got through them, they might yet knock off the runs; if they survived five overs after Tea, panic might set in to the fielding side, but that those first two overs might well be decisive.

Fourth ball after Tea, Lakmal got a ball that straightened just enough to hit the stumps. Before Tea, most likely he would have dealt with it. After Tea, the instincts and the concentration were dulled just enough for the ball to miss Lakmal’s prod. Jack Leach had the last wicket of the series, sealed the 0-3 win and, to boot, equalled Moeen Ali’s tally of wickets for the series and ensured that even though Ben Stokes topped the bowling averages for the series, he would pip Perera, Moeen and Sandakan to top the averages for spin bowlers.

England had made heavy weather of finishing off a spirited opposition. As predicted last night, the biorhythms were off in the morning, the nightwatchman did hang around and the momentum was lost, with a substantial sixth wicket partnership threatening to bring Sri Lanka back into the match. As though has been the Sri Lankan wont throughout the series, just when their batsmen were getting on top, they threw it away. The stand was at 102. Mendis was approaching a century. And a senseless runout stopped both Mendis and the partnership. There were 22, fifties in the series – 11 by England, 11 by Sri Lanka – yet the only four centuries were scored by Englishmen. No England batsman was dismissed between 64 and 107, but six Sri Lankan batsmen were. Adil Rashid bowled a googly. Roshen Silva pushed it away and set off for two. Leach fielded and threw, right-handed, with lethal precision at the non-striker’s end and an end was opened. A flat England side were re-invigorated and Moeen and Leach shared the last four wickets: the first two to catches to Keaton Jennings, who took six in the match, eight in the series and, surprisingly, was pipped to the title of leading catcher, not by either of the wicket-keepers, but by Ben Stokes, with 9[1]. Jennings only went to the Short Leg position after Rory Burns took a sickening blow there: you wonder how many catches he might have had in the series if he had fielded there for all three Tests.

Much has been made of the retirement of Herath for Sri Lanka, but this is largely a red herring as he has not for the last couple of years wanted to play even a full 3-match series. While he played both Tests at home against South Africa, he played just one in the shared series in the Caribbean. The overall impression was of two limited sides, with England always just a little too good for their opponents, particularly at the critical moments. Sri Lanka though are nowhere near as poor as some of the apologists have claimed: you do not beat South Africa 2-0 with a poor team and, in that series, all five Sri Lankan bowlers, all of whom also played against England too, averaged under 17.3 with the ball. Against bowlers who had been devastating against South Africa, England found a method that worked so well that the same bowlers took their wickets at triple the cost.

It is not a brilliant England side. There are too many manifest weaknesses for that, but it has the makings of a pretty good one if it can consolidate in the New Year in the Caribbean.  

 



[1] 8 caught and 2 stumped for Ben Foakes. 7 caught and 1 stumped for Dickwella.