Showing posts with label The Ashes 2019. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Ashes 2019. Show all posts

Monday, 26 August 2019

England v Australia: Third Test, Stokes Re-Kindles the Ashes as Australia Throw it Away


 

England v Australia: Third Test

Stokes Re-Kindles the Ashes as Australia Throw it Away

August 25th 2019

 

England should now be 2-0 down with two to play and the destination of the Ashes, but not the series, decided. They are not, thanks to a series of extraordinary events that highlights the fragility of both sides.

An Australian collapse at Lord’s threatened to give England an unexpected chance to square the series after the heavy defeat at Edgbaston. That England were blown away in the 1st Test, having dominated the match for the first three days, was a salutary lesson. Australia were fifteen behind with their top three dismissed, but England could not finish them off. Might it have changed the result if Jimmy Anderson had not hobbled off after bowling just four overs on the first morning? Just possibly, but a side should be able to overcome such handicaps. Would England have won the 2nd Test had they not lost an hour on the final morning after so much play – effectively, two full days – had not been lost previously? Quite possibly! These though are simple imponderables: we do not know what would have happened and, both times, Australia rode their luck and battled through.

With Steve Smith, previously the difference between the two sides, out of the 3rd Test, England had their Ashes 2005 moment. In that series, the freak injury to Glenn McGrath, when he trod on a cricket ball in the warm-up, changed the destination of the series. England revived. Steve Smith out. Jofra Archer causing mayhem. The momentum swinging, surely England had to win now, or lose the series?

Even more, Australia blinked first with selection. Apart from the enforced change to replace Steve Smith, with Labuschagne proving every bit as effective a stand-in as Jofra Archer was for Jimmy Anderson, Cameron Bancroft was the fall-guy for top-order failings. The change made no difference, with Australia 25-2 within forty minutes, but then it was England who lost the plot. An hour of buffet bowling and Australia were in a strong position when they could have been all out for under 100. Take away the 111 stand between a revived Warner and Labuschagne and twenty wickets fell for 145 between the first two innings of the match and the start of the third. For all the complaints that Chris Woakes has been underbowled, his arthritic performance on the first afternoon as two batsmen scored almost as many as the other twenty in the first innings, suggests that his knee is troubling him more than is being admitted. In conditions in which you would have expected him to make hay, his match figures were 25-5-85-2.

The less said about England’s first innings, the better. Jason Roy’s fourth consecutive single-figure score and the manner of his dismissals, show that he is not making a success of opening the innings. Against Australia, he has a sequence of 10, 28, 0, 2, 9 & 8. Joe Root is playing out of position to protect lesser batsmen around him and struggling. Root plays all three formats and has been flogged into the ground over the last couple of years, a fact that some of the more ungrateful fans who are calling for his head, forget conveniently. And Joe Denly is managing a positively James Vince-like sequence of getting a start and then failing to pass thirty. Below them, Bairstow and Buttler look a shadow of the counter-attacking players who can win a Test in session. The Australians were given good bowling conditions to use against a frail line-up and proved irresistible.

Australia, though, are not much better off. Their top order is no more solid than England’s and the middle order is struggling. There is speculation that Tim Paine may have to drop himself because he cannot buy a run and Matt Wade desperately needs a score. The Australia of Allan Border or Steve Waugh would have taken that first innings lead of 112 and sailed off into the distance. At 215-6, with the England attack struggling, they had a chance to push past 400 lead and kill the game but, just as England had failed to apply the killer blow at Edgbaston, Australia were not good enough to apply it here.

A better side than Australia would have taken their chances. When both openers fall to the new ball in under half an hour, with the opposition facing attaining the tenth highest fourth innings chase if they were to keep the Ashes alive and with the batsmen playing as if facing hand grenades, blindfold, with a moral victory for the bowlers at least once an over, the killer blow should have fallen. Yet it did not.

The lesson is that this is a series between two mediocre, inconsistent sides, both capable of moments of brilliance… and a lot of dross.

The key aspect of the partnership between Root and Denly was not the number of runs scored, but the fact that it gave their side belief that the match could be won. It also started to sow the seeds of doubt in Australian minds: a doubt that must have contributed to the frazzled state twenty-four hours later. Even when Joe Root fell early on the fourth morning, just before the new ball, rather than signalling the end, as the fielding side must have expected, the arrival of the new ball brought a flood of runs, as the previously stroke-less Stokes and the previously run-less, Bairstow, combined to reduce the number of runs required ever-closer to the hundred mark that was within reach of a single partnership.

No one can legislate for a batsman chancing his arm and it coming off. In 1981, Ian Botham did it, memorably, both at Headingly and at Old Trafford. These things happen. But you can make it easier for the batsman. Stokes should have been out early in his innings: the chance went begging.

Australian fans will, however, forever believe that they were cheated of victory. Ben Stokes should have been given LBW with 2 runs needed to win, but Joel Wilson gave him the benefit of someone’s doubt. Australia would have won by one run – shades of the Border/Thompson stand in the 1982/83 Ashes – but it should have never got to that. Australia totally lost the plot.

When David Warner dropped Stokes on 34 in the morning session, it did not look so costly. With 17 needed to win, Marcus Harris, who has had a pretty forgettable match, missed a more difficult chance. Then Jack Leach committed suicide, charging down the wicket and should have been run out by yards, but Nathan Lyon dropped the ball and Leach scrambled back. That was symptomatic of scrambled minds that were making mistakes under pressure. A lot of that pressure was being applied by a crowd that never stopped believing and cheered to the echo every four, every six, every single and every forward defensive.

How else do you account for the way that, over after over, Stokes was allowed a comfortable single from the fifth or sixth ball? Australia never pinned him down at one end so that they could attack at the other. How else do you account for the fact that even when they had Leach in their sights, the bowlers could not produce the match-winning delivery? Leach never even looked uncomfortable. How else can you explain the way that none of the bowlers managed to deliver a single Yorker in the block-hole to either Stokes, who was swinging away and thus vulnerable to one, or to Leach? Supposedly, limited-overs cricket as taught bowlers the knack of bowling that lethal, block-hole delivery at the death, but that skill went missing during the frenetic, frantic, last wicket partnership. Or that when Leach was facing early in what proved to be the final over, he was allowed to nudge the single that got him off the mark and levelled the scores?

And, Australia would have won had they not wasted already their review on a quite desperate attempt to remove Jack Leach. When they actually needed a review, six balls later, they had none left.

The English, being the English, will feel guilt that victory was tainted by an umpiring error. Many Australian fans will feed that sense of guilt and make out that they were cheated. Had the roles been reversed, the Australians would have just said “tough mate! You should have taken your chances.” You make your own luck and Australia deserved no better.

The truth of the matter is that, when put under pressure, the Australians cracked. The match should never have been allowed to depend at the very last moment on an umpire who was under extreme pressure too, a good part of it due to the fielding side appealing for everything; it should have been settled long before then.

Ben Stokes’ innings was extraordinary, as was his calmness and awareness, but no less extraordinary was Jack Leach’s calm under extreme pressure, with half the Australian side close enough to touch him and chatting away. Most #11s would have thrown it away: Leach did not.

The 1st Test was won by an extraordinary batting performance by Steve Smith and the 2nd Test saved thanks in great measure to another. The 3rd was won by an extraordinary batting performance by Ben Stokes. With the bowlers holding sway, the series will be decided by which of the two sides manages to produce such innings more often.

Both sides have chronic problems. The top three of both teams has the solidity of wet tissue paper. With a week and a half between Tests, there is time to reflect and take decisions after mature reflection. While Rory Burns has earned himself the full series, the time has come to end the experiment with Jason Roy: he may ride his luck and make a score in the series, but he does not suggest permanence. Similarly, time is running out for Joe Denly. He has reached double figures in every Test this summer, yet passed 30 just once. And Joe Root must drop back down to #4.

England already have a perfect excuse to make changes. Assuming that Jimmy Anderson has shown no reaction to his 2nd XI outing and is considered fit, he will enter the side at his home ground. It could be that he replaces a bowler – presumably, Chris Woakes – but there is also the possibility that he could replace a batsman and that Sam Curran could replace Chris Woakes. People will look to the heavens at that suggestion but, with the form of some of the batsmen, the depth of the batting will hardly be weakened, but there will be an extra bowling option to keep control. Or England could take the opportunity to refresh both batting and bowling without it looking like panic.

One batting solution would be to bring in Dom Sibley. A look at Sibley’s numbers this season shows that he has not only scored huge numbers of runs, but his strike rate in the low 40s shows that he has had a lot of patience and is willing to grind out an innings. This is just what England need at the top of the order. Sibley, though, had a double failure against Somerset in his only First Class outing since mid-July and will not get another innings before the 4th Test. Sibley may regret that he timed his one, poor match of the season badly. The ECB should regret the ludicrous scheduling of the feeder competition for the Test side.

An indicator of selectorial thinking is that Ollie Pope was called-up as cover for Jason Roy, after Roy’s blow to the head in the nets, making it far more likely that, at least at Old Trafford, Pope will play instead of Sibley. Doing this allows too a re-jig of the top order. There is a case for Joe Denly to be asked to open with Burns at Old Trafford, with Ollie Pope at #3 and Joe Root at #4. This is a risky solution as, despite his unbeaten double century, Pope has, apart from that single innings, played only T20 since his early season injury and Denly’s experience as an opener is mainly limited to ODIs and T20s for England, ten years ago. However, Denly seems far more likely and prepared to see off the new ball than is Jason Roy: one thing that he has been doing is to stick around, even if the runs have not accompanied. If the coach says to him, “Joe, we are happy to see you bat out a full session for 20”, he is the one player in the top 4 who you can see capable of doing it and of relishing the challenge.

At the same time, Australia will make further changes. The bowlers have been rotated and will continue to rotate. Space will be made for Steve Smith, unless his outing against Derbyshire is a disaster. Marnus Labuschagne will keep his place. David Warner’s innings has probably saved his place, but Matt Wade and Tim Paine’s places are certainly under threat. It is far from impossible that Australia could make as many as three or even four changes.

Both sides will go to Old Trafford thinking of what might have been. England know that they let slip a big first innings lead at Edgbaston and, with a little more luck in the 2nd Test, could now be 3-0 up. Australia will know that they dodged the bullet in the 2nd Test and were the better side for most of the game at Headingly and should be 2-0 up and retaining the Ashes. With their talisman back, Australia will expect to put things to rights at Old Trafford. However, if yesterday was a flashback to Headingly ’81, Australia would be wise to recall that Ian Botham produced another extraordinary match-winning innings in a crisis at Old Trafford later that same summer.

Bottom line: expect the unexpected. Both sides are capable of great things… and of producing dross.

Saturday, 27 July 2019


 

England v Ireland: Only Test

Issues before the Ashes

July 27th 2019

 

Ireland’s inaugural Test in England, only their third in total, was as brief and violent as predicted. Despite rain and a quite appalling overrate, it lasted under seven sessions and started and ended with a crazy clatter of wickets. The fact that the clatter of wickets saved England for the very real danger of an embarrassing defeat made it a face-saving relief.

For England, falling to 43-7 and then 85ao in well under a session to a good Second Division county seamer who is approaching retirement and who was never particularly close to a Test place even when at the height of his powers, caused much merriment in Australia. The fact that, at the same time, the batsmen of Australia were floundering desperately in their own match between the Australia and the Australia A squad, may have had something to do with their own enjoyment of seeing someone else struggling.

Kudos to Ireland. They have moulded a team of County pros, many of whom are not 1st XI regulars into a side that gave England an almighty scare. Ireland have an ethos and a team spirit that does them great credit and they should be proud of their efforts. However, they should have closed-out the win and the fact that they did not will hurt. They will learn from this and, this winter, will get a new chance in Sri Lanka to get that maiden win.

The first thing that is obvious is that England’s switch from white-ball to red-ball mode has been difficult. An experimental top order. A middle order than has barely played a red-ball game all year. And an experimental attack that included two spinners – on a green-top – and a surfeit of all-rounders. All in all, England had a lot to play for and the struggles of the batsmen showed how desperately that they needed to re-acquaint themselves with the skills that the red ball requires. The fact that the innings barely lasted longer than a T20 and was less than half the length of a ODI innings, showed that the England batting problems are nowhere near resolved. The top order is fragile and the middle-order is hit and miss. You can see the Australian bowlers ripping through the batting. However, at the same time, there was a warning to the Australians. Here was an England attack shorn of Jimmy Anderson, Mark Wood, Joffra Archer and Ben Stokes, with a questioned Stuart Broad leading the attack, with a debutant as first change, that was able to defend 181 and win by a massive margin to boot.

While we wonder who will bat in the top 3, we also have to wonder how England will fit in their four injured or rested quicks. One assumes that Stone and Curran will make way but, even so, Anderson, Stokes and, presumably, Archer will come in and surely England will not play five seamers. It is possible that Archer will still not be regarded as fit enough for a Test but, even so, that is just delaying the inevitable problem.

The other big issue is what to do with Moeen Ali? He is so obviously out of sorts. At his best, batting at #8 and bowling as he can he provides a double-whammy of late order runs and abundant wickets against imprudent batsmen who feel that he is not a Test-class spinner. There is a real case for retaining Jack Leach in the playing XI, despite the fact that he had little to do at Lord’s and took some punishment in his first couple of overs: you always need the option, even if you think that a spinner will not be needed. Moeen needs a rest and a run-transfusion with his County and will, again, come back stronger.

Even if Jason Roy scored runs at #3 in the second innings, his nervous, fidgety initial efforts did not promise that he is the opener that England need. There is a strong body of opinion that, like Alex Hales, he should only bat in the middle order. There is an argument for playing him at #3, although he plays at #4 for Surrey. However, that #4 spot is reserved for Joe Root and it is where he bats best for England. Rory Burns is averaging little more than 22 after a decent run in the side (22.3 after 7 Tests) and surely cannot get many more chances. The betting must be that he will not last the Ashes, unless he makes a breakthrough very quickly. Similarly, Joe Denly, strangely picked with the somewhat bizarre idea that he could be as successful with his part-time spin as Moeen has been, has had just one significant knock in six innings, averages 24 and is struggling to get rid of the impression that he is not quite good enough with with bat or with ball at this level. In Denly’s case one wonders what he could have done without those wilderness years after his ODI debut in 2009. Denly is another who may well not be in the XI at the end of the Ashes unless he can find some steel soon.

What of the alternatives? Whatever the cynics say, there is talent there. England’s problem is to find a Boycott and a Tavaré to provide the cement to allow the stroke-players to build an innings.

If you look at the County Championship now, after ten rounds, now in its run-in, there are three stand-out form players: Dom Sibley, Sam Northeast and the eternal enigma, Gary Ballance. Sibley and Northeast average well over 60, with 3x100 and 4x50 each in 9 matches. Sibley is just short of 1000 runs and has a strike rate of 41: just the qualities that England need. Adam Lyth is also beginning to recover the qualities that made him an England opener, but has shown a repeated inability to count past 95 so far this season: fix it and he may be looking at a possible recall. In Division 2 – and I *do not* advocate Division 2 runs as being any kind of adequate preparation for an Ashes Test, two names stand out, apart from Dawid Malan who, has the handicap of battering on the door of a musclebound England middle order and Ryan Higgins (England are mob-handed already with all-rounders): Hassan Azad of Leicestershire and Chris Dent of Gloucestershire, who has recovered his magic this season. Dent is probably the best opener in the country who has never been mentioned for England at any level… and far better than some who have played Tests, let alone for the Lions. Of the two, Hassan Azad will start interesting Division 1 sides and England if he keeps up his prolific season.

England are likely to go with the top 3 from Lord’s and hope that they come good, but not many people expect that top 3 to last more than half way through the series. One hopes that Dom Sibley will come in before it is too late.