Saturday, 29 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 2nd Test, 2nd Day - England on the Brink of an Embarrassing Defeat


 

England v Bangladesh: 2nd Test, 2nd Day

England on the Brink of an Embarrassing Defeat

October 29th 2016

There is every possibility that the Test will end on the 3rd Day, or early on the 4th and, barring yet another huge swing of fortune, England look set to become the first of the Big Six to lose a Test to Bangladesh. I would try to find a positive spin to put on things, but that would test even a politician.
The good news: Zafar Ansari was actually trusted to bowl in the second innings (Simon Kerrigan never got that chance) and took two wickets, including one with the last ball of the day that has just about kept England in with a chance.

The bad news: just about everything else. An abysmal collapse to 144-8 – this time Moeen Ali and Ben Stokes could not make up for the failings of others – followed by a poor bowling effort. Suffice to say that Ben Stokes, who has gone for 4.0 per over, has been the most economical of the bowlers.
Twice, England got a toe-hold in the game. First, Woakes and Adil Rashid put on 99 for the ninth wicket to get England a precious 24 run lead. Then, after Bangladesh had set off at 5-an-over, wiping out the deficit in just 5 overs, two wickets in three balls seemed to wrest control back. You could sense that another wicket could lead to Bangladesh choking and crumbling. Instead, Mahmudullah and Keyes went for their shots, the scoreboard started to rattle around when England needed three consecutive maidens. England have only bowled a single maiden in the whole innings and the last ten overs of the day went for 53 before Ansari ended the fun by bowling a straight ball at Mahmudullah, which the batsman kindly missed completely.

The lead is now 128. If it passes 200, England will struggle. If it reaches 250, we might as well go home. Going to India having lost an eighth final Test in their last ten series and, this time, providing Bangladesh with a first major scalp, is no preparation for a series against the current #1 Test side.

Friday, 28 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 2nd Test, 1st Day - Curried Calypso Collapso


 

England v Bangladesh: 2nd Test, 1st Day

Curried Calypso Collapso

October 28th 2016

We have only had a shortened first day and already we are a third of the way through this Test. It is a denouement that seemed unlikely when Bangladesh went to Lunch in a comfortable position at 118-1 thanks to some pretty ropy England bowling. Even the one wicket was due to a bad shot to a worse ball. With the partnership prospering in the hour after Lunch  it looked as if England’s worst nightmare was coming true: watch Bangladesh make 400+ at a cracking pace and then come under pressure on a pitch taking increasing spin. It had all the makings of a match being lost on the first day. It also had the pundits looking at the pitch and suggesting that it was flat and had nothing in it.
A cynical comment was that the only way that England looked like taking a wicket was to lull the batsmen into a false sense of security and that England were doing a lot of lulling.

It worked.
First, Tamim padded-up to a pretty inoffensive ball from Moeen that’s only lethal quality was that it was straight.

It did not seem to matter, Mominul and Mahmudullah added 19 runs in 3 overs. That seemed to be their undoing. Ben Stokes was brought back in an attempt to slow the scoring and, suddenly, as if inspired, Moeen Ali’s bowling clicked.
Batsmen who had been scoring at will suddenly found Ben Stokes and Moeen Ali bowling dot ball after dot ball. Nine dots and Mominul got a lovely ball from Moeen. The next 30 balls produced just three scoring shots and Mahmudullah can only be described as having been fretted out by Stokes. As length and line tightened, Bangladeshi batsmen disintegrated.

This was Calypso cricket at its best: hammer the bowling to all parts and then collapse in a heap. Less than 23 overs after being 171-1, Bangladesh had somehow fallen to 220 all out.
A lot of credit is due to Moeen Ali, who bowled his best spell for a very long time. A lot too to Ben Stokes for kicking him into life. Five wickets in the innings. Ten wickets @ 19.2 so far in the series. 19 wickets at 32 and 375 runs at 75 so far in his last 5 Tests: Moeen is in the form of his life.

Sadly Zafar Ansari’s debut has brought back memories of Simon Kerrigan. Six nervous overs for 36 and you could almost see the mental filecard in Alistair Cook’s mind, slipping him into the “do not re-use” category. Cook was not sympathetic with Kerrigan’s plight and he has never been as effective since. A survivor of that debacle was another debutant, Chris Woakes, who was also put to the sword that day in 2013: he though wrapped-up the tail today as Ansari languished in the outfield.
Stokes’s 11-5-13-2 was heroic. It is hard to remember that he was the same player who was often too expensive to be risked a couple of years ago. He has become a brutally efficient competitor. His figures in the series are a staggering 36.3-12-59-8.

However, by collapsing, Bangladesh had 24 overs to bowl as conditions worsened and rain approached. Once again, the top order came, saw, surrendered and headed back to the pavilion. It is getting depressing.
We were told that Alistair Cook was batting beautifully in the nets. However, off-field distractions, two inter-continental flights and no match practice are taking their toll. His scores in the series so far are 4, 12 & 14.

Ben Duckett was brought in to give England some fast starts. He has contributed 14, 15 & 7.
And poor Gary Ballance has 1, 9 & 9. Surely he cannot be used in India? However, that would mean bringing back Jos Buttler (just one, brief red ball innings all year) or giving a debut to Hameed, who has not played since the warm-ups.

At 42-3, England desperately need a century from someone. And the rescue act, once again, will fall on Moeen, Bairstow and Stokes.
Reach 300 today and win. Question is: can the middle order bail out England again and get them there?

Thursday, 27 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 2nd Test Preview - Time to Break the Final Test Hoodoo


 

England v Bangladesh: 2nd Test Preview

Time to Break the Final Test Hoodoo

October 27th 2016

The last time that England won the final Test of a series was against India in 2014. Since then, with the single exception of this spring’s final Test against Sri Lanka, England have lost six of seven final Tests and seven of the last nine.
It is not a comforting statistic.

Series that should have been won have been tied. Series that could have been tied have been lost.
And now England affront another final Test with the series in the balance: win and England keep their winning record against Bangladesh and move into 3rd place above Australia in the ICC Test rankings; lose and the series is only shared, there is a hefty loss of ranking points and England will face India in the worst possible frame of mind.

After the narrow win in the 1st Test, Ansari comes in for Batty and Finn for Broad. Both are risky changes. Batty gave control, if limited threat and Broad’s burst on the penultimate evening set up the win, pulling the rug from underneath the Bangladesh charge to victory. In exchange, we have a Test debutant in Ansari and a bowler who, when he gets it right, is capable of devastating spells but, when the biorhythms are wrong, has the control of a paint spray, but none of its accuracy.
Unless it goes to Moeen Ali (and Alistair Cook obviously does not trust him to deliver), Finn will take the new ball with Woakes. The Bangladesh openers are in fine form and if Finn gets it wrong, could make a jet-propelled start. However, Bangladesh is where Steve Finn suddenly broke through in 2009: spotted in the nets in the UAE, where he could not get into the Lions XI, he went straight from being an unwanted net bowler for the shadow side, into the Test XI. England will hope that Steve Finn re-captures that spirit.

Similarly, there is method behind the selection of Zafar Ansari. He did not have a great season after a second injury halted his return to the Surrey side, but he turns the ball from leg to off at a decent pace, offers a different line and is likely to be a better foil for Moeen Ali than either Adil Rashid or Gareth Batty.
The Bangladeshi’s say that they do not know how the pitch will play, but it will be a major surprise if it does not offer big turn from the first morning. The joker in the pack though is the typhoon in the Bay of Bengal that could cause a significant amount of play to be lost.

England have the weapons to win, but it is all too easy to see how it could go horribly wrong. If Bangladesh were to win the Toss and score 400, as they are quite capable of doing, it would require a heroic effort by England (and probably some help from rain) even to secure the draw.

Monday, 24 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 5 - DRS the Winner


 

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 5

DRS the Winner

October 24th 2016

There was something appropriate in the way that the match ended this morning. The end was swift – it took just 21 balls – it was brought about by Ben Stokes, who did so much to keep England in the match and it came courtesy of two reviews of decisions by Umpire Dharmasena, one overturned, the second upheld. In all, there were 26 reviews, 16 of them against Dharmesena, 8 of them upheld (including an extraordinary 3 in 6 balls). In contrast, only 3 of the 10 against Umpire Gaffney were upheld.
The lessons were that (1) it is tough being an umpire when the ball is turning a lot, Test umpires do not get a lot of experience of standing to over after over of spin with the ball turning a lot in oppressive weather (2) 25% of the wickets in the Test would have been wrongly given if DRS had not been available – it ensured fairness for both sides – and (3) making good and sensible use of reviews is a vital part of the game now. Each side made 13 reviews, although England were more successful, in part thanks to Moeen, in getting 7 decisions overturned to Bangladesh’s 4. That 7-4 ratio was almost certainly the difference between winning and losing.

DRS had a big impact in the result. Had Moeen Ali been given on the first day, England would probably have lost; Moeen though showed the value of judicious use of DRS by a batsman (Shane Watson please take note). Similarly, had England not had a review available on the last morning, Ben Stokes would not have made the vital early breakthrough. A million Bangladesh fans though will believe that the final dismissal – eerily reminiscent of the final wicket in the famous second tied Test in India – was wrongly given by both the on-field and third umpire and that the #11 was playing a shot and hence should not have been given out LBW. Probably it would have made no difference: with 23 still wanted and the last man in the sights of fresh bowlers, it was all but a lost cause, but Bangladesh fans will always wonder.
For Bangladesh, it was heart-wrenchingly close. Probably there was not a neutral in the world who was not pulling for them. It is not the first time: a defeat by a single wicket in Pakistan in 2003 when Bangladesh deserved to win; at this very ground in 2008 New Zealand were set 317 to win and got home by three wickets. And, what would have been the jewel in the crown: a narrow home defeat to the all-conquering Australians in 2006 in a game that Australia could so easily have lost.

Although the result takes England’s winning streak to nine, the likelihood of another lively pitch on Friday, combined with England’s final Test blues means that only a fool would put much money on England sealing the series 2-0.
For England, it is obvious that not all was well. Gary Ballance’s form is a real worry. The struggles of the top four are a real worry and the lack of control by the spinners, was a worry. There is also the not inconsiderable consideration that batting reserve, Hameed, spinning all-rounder, Ansari and bowling reserve, Steve Finn, have had very little cricket with no warm-ups to come in India.

There are multiple possibilities. The most likely are:
·         Rest two seamers – probably Broad and Woakes – and play Finn and Ball.  This would lengthen the tail by removing the valuable batting of Chris Woakes, but it would reward Jake Ball who proved such a success in the ODIs.

·         Rest a seamer – probably Woakes – and play Ansari instead. Events showed that having a third seamer was essential to engineering the Bangladesh collapses at the end of both innings.

·         Rest Rashid and play Ansari. This is an attractive option. Both spin from leg to off, but Ansari is a left-armer and would give a different line of attack. Adil Rashid had a brilliant ODI series, but has been frustratingly inconsistent in Tests. Here he took only three, relatively expensive wickets, the fewest of any of the front-line spinners in the match. However, you can also argue that Rashid will only learn by playing Tests and gaining experience and will surely be needed in India.

·         Play Ansari instead of Ballance. This would maintain the three seamers and give an extra spin option, without weakening significantly the batting. It would also give Ansari the debut that he would surely have had in the UAE last winter had he not been injured.

·         Play Hameed instead of Ballance. The top-order collapses cannot be ignored. Hameed’s fighting qualities would help provide solidity, as well as blooding him for the possible need to play him in India.
My preference would be to play Ansari instead of Ballance, without discounting the possibility of playing at least one of Ball and Finn. However, recovery and net form over the next couple of days may well be the deciding factors for the selectors.

Sunday, 23 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 4, A Classic Test on an Excellent Surface Heading to a Dramatic Conclusion


 

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 4

A Classic Test on an Excellent Surface Heading to a Dramatic Conclusion

October 23rd 2016
 

For a fourth day momentum has swung from side to side like a demented pendulum that cannot quite make up its mind. The result is a classic match, played on a pitch that is providing some wonderful, tense cricket. And, thanks to a slow over-rate on what should have been the last day, will go into a fifth morning that seemed totally implausible on the first day.
We have ended the day where we started, with England favourite to win but, like on the third day, Bangladesh have dominated large parts of it and, at one point seemed to be strolling to victory. Right now, the odds favour England, but one loose over would leave Bangladesh again close to victory. We are also just two overs from the new ball but, suddenly, the old ball has started to talk for Stuart Broad who has pulled England back into the match.

Things started badly. When you have two, capable batsmen at the crease and are looking to push the target right out of reach, the last thing that you need is a stupid runout almost before the crowd has settled in its seats. Nerves or whatever, it gave Bangladesh a chance and torpedoed any chance of setting a target over 300. Gareth Batty was, in his day, a formidable lower-order batsman, but he is that no longer and, the inevitable result was that within four overs, Bangladesh were batting, facing a chase far beyond anything that they have ever previously achieved, but certainly achievable for this much-improved team.
The pundits felt that anything over 180 gave England a real chance. Anything over 250 should be unreachable. The final target was 286 and should have been completely safe. However, with 18 coming from the first three overs with the new ball and then Bangladesh motoring on at 4-an-over, with wickets not falling, the runs required were falling at an alarming rate.

Even though Moeen Ali got the breakthrough with the dismissal of the dangerous Tamim Iqbal, the Bangladesh batsmen have applied the same tactic that other sides have used: go after him without mercy as probably the most dangerous member of the attack. Probably they also figure into the equation that Alistair Cook, who has learnt his game in a mostly spin-free era, is not comfortable with spinners and tends to struggle to get the best out of them. In general, a spinner likes to see the batsman taking him on, but only when the captain is going to give him the necessary support and protection. There is no embarrassment in taking your wickets to catches on the boundary – they all count – the thing is to get the batsman to make a mistake and offer a chance. However, Alistair Cook, rather than put in an extra boundary fielder, tends to whip the spinner straight out of the attack. In the wicketless hour after Tea, when Bangladesh were slowly grinding their way to what looked like an inevitable victory and England were desperate for a wicket, despite that fact that Adil Rashid was bowling some absolute jaffas, you felt that it was Moeen who was more likely to make something happen. Cook though was scared of letting Bangladesh get some easy runs and kept Moeen out of the attack. When Gareth Batty finally was asked to take over, Bangladesh relaxed, went after him and it took just five balls to get the breakthrough. Three overs later Stuart Broad hammered the ball into the pads, desperation-time review and, suddenly, the match was back in the balance.
Credit to Stuart Broad. For many he was the player who should make way for Zafar Ansari in the 2nd Test but, like Ben Stokes in the first innings, he bowled a magnificent late spell, with some explosive deliveries. Five balls after his first wicket he produced another fine ball and Ballance, at short leg, had his second catch in five overs and some relief for him after a poor match.

That should have been that, but the 9th wicket pair have put on 15 so far and the target is only 33 away. With Shabbir still at the crease, Bangladesh know that victory is within reach. However, Cook’s decision to force the issue of the light by refusing to take off the quick bowlers was a wise one. The young Bangladesh players are going to pass a sleepless night and arrive at the ground with fried nerves tomorrow. It could be all over very fast in the morning, or we could be in for around an hour of incredible drama and tension.
Either way, it has been a magnificent Test and Bangladesh have shown just how much they have improved as a side. Win or lose, young guns on both sides have been blooded in a fiery cauldron of Test cricket.

Saturday, 22 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 3 - The Sting in England’s Tail Augers Well for India


 

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 3

The Sting in England’s Tail Augers Well for India

October 22nd 2016

 
First the good news: England are in a strong position to win the Test, something that India and South Africa failed to do in Bangladesh last year.

Now the bad news: it only came after another horrific top-order collapse that left the match in the balance again.
At first sight, normal service. England established a useful lead of 45 in a low-scoring Test. However, with Bangladesh 221-4 just before the Close last night, only 72 behind and looking comfortable, it could so easily have been 100 behind. When Ben Stokes took Mushfiqur Rahim’s wicket just before the Close last night, it was getting close to desperation time. Even so, Bangladesh must have been expecting to earn a lead of some kind. Little could anyone imagine that Moeen Ali would start the morning with a bang taking the sort of wicket that only Moeen seems to take: Shakib Al Hasan, who many would argue is the best player that Bangladesh have ever produced, gave him the charge, second ball of the morning and wonder of wonders, Jonny Bairstow made the stumping.

The opprobrium of Shakib has been almost universal – it set the tone for a horrendous Bangladesh capitulation – but it is just an extension of the tactics that we have seen so often, particularly from Asian batsmen: go after Moeen and try to destroy his confidence. Had the stroke been better executed, it would have been a six second ball of the day and the momentum would have been right back with Bangladesh. Like Adil Rashid, Moeen can be expensive and give you a bumper bag of liquorice allsorts, but he also makes things happen and takes too many wickets for it to be pure chance. Batsmen look at him and think that it is their lucky day if this is the best that England can offer, but keep falling to him.
Moeen’s last 5 Tests have produced 398 runs at 56.9 and 14 wickets, albeit at the slightly inflated cost of 41.9. And were it not for the fact that Ben Stokes has set himself up for it, he would have a real shout at the Man-of-the-Match award (and may yet win it). England are fortunate to have Moeen and Ben Stokes (250 runs at 35.7 and 17 wickets at 18.2 in his last 5 Tests) to provide stability and, on occasion, a substantial sting in the tail for England when 4 or 5 wickets have fallen cheaply, as they have in both innings here.

With Adil Rashid giving support with the wicket of Shafiul Islam, just as it looked as if Bangladesh had weathered the early storm, the new ball in the hands of Ben Stokes proved to be a catch-weight contest against the tail. It left Stokes with the extraordinary figures of 14-5-26-4 and England’s seamers bowling a combined 29 overs for just 53 runs.
What we are seeing is a pattern: the ball spins a lot when hard and batting is really tough for the first 30 overs with the new ball; then, as it softens, batting becomes substantially easier. England were 21-3 in the 1st innings and 28-3 in the 2nd. England’s top 4 have registered just one score of more than 15 in 8 attempts in the match, which is not good enough. Much of the scrutiny will fall on Gary Ballance (1 & 9) and many will wonder if England might not have done better to give his place to Zafar Ansari, whose chances of a debut in the 2nd Test must be improving by the day. A graphic published by the BBC, showing the constant and alarming downward trend in Ballance’s runs per Test over his career has done him no favours and shown – quite literally, graphically – his continuing decline in form. Similarly, there will be those who wonder if, given what has happened, Hameed’s grit at the top of the order might have been preferable to Duckett’s bluster. However, now that England have gone down the Duckett route they will most certainly give him a few Tests. They will be hoping that Duckett helps to give England the explosive starts that they been missing since Marcus Trescothick retired from Tests.

The best news for England is that they are showing that they can deal with a sharply spinning ball, with noisy fielders crowding the bat putting excessive pressure on the umpires, with the knack of getting their DRS challenges right and, even if they are 4 or 5 down for not very much, can come back and make a competitive total. One or two of the tremendously dismissive Indian fans may just be wondering about their predictions of a totally uncompetitive massacre and a 5-0 scoreline. Similarly, the seamers are managing to get some reverse swing, whereas the Bangladesh attack, more used to the conditions, is achieving very little. We even had the slightly bizarre spectacle of Bangladesh bringing back a seamer, seemingly to rest its spinners!
Speaking of DRS, this has been an extraordinary match: 19 reviews in the match (one more will make this the Test with the highest number of reviews ever), 9 decisions overturned (a record), 6 of them from Umpire Dharmasena, who will be dreaming of players in white making T-shapes for some time after this Test.

England need Woakes and Broad to hang around for a while in the morning. Alternatively, if Stuart Broad can remember the persona who, in the past, changed innings by slogging a quick 30 or 40, that will also do nicely. If they reach 248, they will condemn Bangladesh to make the highest score of the match to win. 254 would push the victory target up to 300. And 272 all out would set Bangladesh the challenge of making the highest ever successful chase at this ground to win.

In summary: the key numbers for England:
217 - Bangladesh's highest ever successful 4th innings chase (215 was the target).
248 - England will set Bangladesh the highest total of the match to win.
254 - Bangladesh will need 300 to win.
272 - Bangladesh will need to beat the highest ever successful chase at this ground to win.
Only 28 times in Test cricket has a side chased 300 or more successfully to win.

Thursday, 20 October 2016

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 1: Trial by Spin


 

England v Bangladesh: 1st Test, Day 1

Trial by Spin

October 20th  2016

From what we have seen so far, this Test may well not make it into a fifth day. A spinner taking the new ball in a Test match is already a collector’s item: even in the heyday of the great Indian spin quartet in the 1970s Eknath Solkar would trot in for two or three overs of gentle medium pace to remove the shine first. A spinner taking the new ball in a Test and immediately getting big turn at 10am on the first morning is unheard of. Bangladesh are following big time the theory that England cannot play spin. In passing, they are also preparing England for a trial by spin in India. First indications are that England may not be as ill-prepared as some Indian fans are hoping.
Already there are suggestions that England may have missed a trick by picking only three spinners. The suggestion, made on TMS – no less – is that Zafar Ansari perhaps should have played instead of Stuart Broad. And, when asked about it, Jon Agnew said that quite possibly England could take that route after this Test.

Back in the 1970s, India would regularly play one seamer and four spinners, plus a batsman who could do a reasonable imitation. Even England have done it. In 1974, England’s tour of the Caribbean initially lurched from disaster to disaster but, after an amazing rearguard from Denis Amiss, some fight and a little help from rain, arrived at the second Trinidad Test only 1-0 down and with a six-day Test in prospect. Having to win the Test to save the series, England opted for a four-man spin attack – Underwood, Pocock, Birkenshaw and Greig – with Geoff Arnold to take the new ball and Greig bowling a few overs of seam before switching to off-breaks. Needless to say, Geoff Boycott scored 99 and 112, the West Indies were set 226 to win and slumped from 63-0 to 199 all out. Greig took 13 wickets, all with spin and England won. Such selections were also seen regularly in the 1980s as, for example New Zealand packed their side with spinners in Pakistan and gave the new ball to Martin Crowe.
These days it is less common to find a pitch that is massively loaded in favour of the spinners. Perhaps cricket has missed out because of it and we should thank the likes of Somerset for bringing back the joys of seeing spin bowlers weave their magic and batsmen working hard to keep out the spinning ball.

At 21-3, with Cook, Duckett and Ballance all falling to spin, there was a chance that England could have been facing defeat even by the end of the first day. All out for around 100, Bangladesh building a lead by the Close. Armageddon. The end of the cricketing universe. It is hard to remember that Bangladesh are no longer push-overs at home: they drew their Test with India last year and were denied a likely win against South Africa by rain. That England are still batting and, some would say, already approaching a potentially match-winning score, is down to a remarkable innings from Moeen Ali, supported by Joe Root, Jonny Bairstow and Chris Woakes.
Moeen looked totally lost initially but, aided by a drop and by no less than five successful recourses to DRS, scored 68 and looked set for another fighting century when, finally, a ball from debutant Mehedi Hasan was too good even for him. What made the innings even better is that the Bangladesh bowlers showed tremendous skill and control and some that of the wicket-taking deliveries were just brilliant.

Runs have to be ground out. The feeling is that if England can get past 300 they will be in a strong position, provided that the England spinners show similar skill and discipline. For England to reach 300, they will need Chris Woakes to continue to bat as well as he has over the last few months and reach a third Test 50. Adil Rashid has the skill to stay with him for some time and will remember his own batting heroics in a similar situation a year ago in the UAE.
What is annoying is the way that many fans are continuing to rubbish the England side and, in particular, Moeen Ali. Two centuries and four fifties in Tests in 2016, often fighting rearguards in difficult positions, plus sixteen wickets (eleven of them in his last four Tests) have let him more than justify his place. Moeen seems to suffer from extremely high expectations being placed on him. Often we forget that even Graeme Swann was the subject of opprobrium for being too often ineffective, despite being England’s most successful post-war spinner (with the possible exception of Deadly Derek Underwood).

With conditions being tough – hot and very humid – not even a spinner is going to be able to bowl a long spell, although Mehedi Hasan managed an astonishing 33 out of 92 overs in the day. The aim for England will be to bat until as close to Lunch as possible and close down one end when bowling, while probing from the other. On whether or not they can do it will hinge the outcome of this Test and, quite possibly, the Winter.