Thursday, 7 November 2013

The Best-Laid Plans...


 

 

Ashes 2013

 

Australia’s careful plan could misfire

 

November 7th 2013

 
 

With England sat pretty at 318-0 possibly the last thing that you wanted to see if you are an Australian is grey, murky skies over the Derwent River, with the prospect of England’s bowlers revelling in the sort of conditions that seam bowlers dream of. Before Kevin Pietersen has even batted on the tour, Australia have batted Carberry, Cook, Trott and Bell into form with comfortable centuries. In fact, none of them has even been dismissed after scoring a century as all four have been either “not out” or have retired. Unfortunately though for England, the murk and drizzle never lifted and a precious day of practice has been lost. Despite the early start planned for tonight, the forecast is for more of the same, which is not ideal.
Assuming that players can get on the field, it seems inconceivable that Cook and Carberry will not retire out overnight, leaving the only dismissal of one of England’s likely top five for the Tests as Carberry’s in the Perth match and even that for a healthy 70-odd. The issue is to get Pietersen, Root, Ballance and Prior some middle time before throwing the bowlers at Australia A.

The spin is that this has been a deliberately weak Australia A side, so that any England success with the bat is meaningless and of no concern to the Australians for the Ashes. How valid this is is open to some question. Trent Copeland has played 3 Tests and averages 24.5 in First Class cricket. Moises Henriques has played 3 Tests, 5 ODIs and 2 T20s. Ben Cutting has played 3 ODIs and 2 T20s and averages 24.9 in First Class cricket. Glenn Maxwell played in the Tests against India before the Ashes, bowling plenty of overs and has a lot of ODIs and T20s behind him. Even Jim Holland has 75 First Class wickets, albeit at a rather poor average, but that is a reflection more of the poverty of Australian spin bowling resources than of the poverty of selection (England supporters will recall the last two Ashes series for the succession of spinners, each more unlikely than the last, who were ranged against them before being summarily dropped). It is not a great Australia A side like some from the 1990s that were better than most other Test sides in the world, but you cannot expect a weak Test side with an injury crisis to have a powerful 2nd XI. The Australia A side is not as weak as it is painted.
One thing is certain and that is that the Australia A side has been picked to have powerful batting. This is just what the England bowlers need to prepare them: hard work on a flat pitch against proper batting will do none of them any harm. If that batting struggles, it will be interesting to see what spin is put on the performance after the events of Day 1.

Apart from the Carberry/Root issue, England have given some broad hints in this match about selection. This looks close to the final Test XI. Ballance will make way for Bell in the final match and Tremlett has been given the first chance to seal the third seamer spot, although there is still a chance that Boyd Rankin could nick it in the end: whichever plays next week will, barring disaster, play at Brisbane.
The losers in this are most definitely Jonny Bairstow and Monty Panesar. Neither have played so far and they are unlikely to play unless it is in the two-day game at Alice Springs between the 1st and 2nd Tests.  Steve Finn and Boyd Rankin, both of whom must have had high hopes of starting the Tests series as third seamer will also be wondering if they will play any more cricket on the tour apart from the Alice Springs game.

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