Cricket 2014
The Test and Series Threaten to Escape II
June 23rd 2014
Bad
news for England.
There have been 341 instances of a side being set 350+ to win with at least 55 overs to get them (i.e. a genuine 4th innings target, with all four results possible).
They have resulted in:
8 wins
99 draws
234 defeats
In
a further 44 cases the side batting last, chasing 350+, has had fewer than 55
overs to survive and still lost.There have been 341 instances of a side being set 350+ to win with at least 55 overs to get them (i.e. a genuine 4th innings target, with all four results possible).
They have resulted in:
8 wins
99 draws
234 defeats
In other words, just about 72% of such run chases have ended in defeat. So, I leave you to draw your own conclusions as to the England chances of winning...
Posted when England started to bat and updated about half an hour later when I realised that I had missed some cases where the side chasing were bowled out in well under two sessions and so lost, even though they never had an option of chasing the target.
ReplyDeleteSubsequent events seem to have justified my pessimism.